• 2 Posts
  • 60 Comments
Joined 12 days ago
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Cake day: April 18th, 2026

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  • Wir sehen vor allen Dingen gerade eine Nachfragezerstörung. Jedes Solarpanel, das in Deutschland auf ein Dach gebaut wird, verringert die Nachfrage nach Strom aus Gaskraftwerken. Jedes E-Auto, was gekauft wird, wird nie mit Öl betankt werden. Jedes Windkraftwerk verhindert, dass ein Ölkraftwerk gebaut wird oder weiterläuft. Wir sehen den massiven Zubau von erneuerbaren Energien weltweit mit wirklich beeindruckenden Kurven. Und das Zeugs, was jetzt gebaut wird, das hält. Solarpanele schaffen locker 30 oder 40 Jahre, Windkraftanlagen auch. Das ist auch keine Entwicklung, die auf Deutschland oder Europa beschränkt ist, sondern gerade die Schwellenländer bauen aktuell massiv Erneuerbare aus. Das ist übrigens auch total verständlich, weil sie natürlich jeden dieser Ölpreis heftiger mitnehmen als wir.

    Die aktuelle Krise wird das alles nur noch verstärken. Ich gehe aber zum Beispiel davon aus, dass diverse gerade in Russland zerstörte Ölinfrastruktur nicht wieder in dem Umfang ausgebaut wird. Wir wissen auch, dass perspektivisch die Weltbevölkerung eher schrumpfen wird. Und selbst wenn Milliarden Menschen in den Schwellenländern mehr Strom verbrauchen sollten in Zukunft, bedeutet das nicht, dass diese mehr Öl konsumieren.


  • The problem is that we are trying to solve climate change by putting a price on carbon emissions regardless of who is causing them and why. That is leading to a world where some rich asshole in his private jet is flying to Monaco to watch the Formula One, and other people can’t afford to heat their homes. That doesn’t work and the current backlash is exactly caused by that. You are forced into the office by those rich CEOs and their private jets and the gov is telling you to drive less and is increasing the taxes for your petrol.

    What I wanted to say is that there are totally fine reasons to fly or move around, and reasons that are not so great and should maybe be avoided. Our current setup is not reflecting that because it’s simply based on your ability to pay.



  • That is a problem that is hard to solve. Many people do not need to move but want to move for reasons. You do not need to fly to Mallorca in order to get wasted on cheap beer. You do not need to fly to Paris in order to start a shopping spree. You do not need to fly to Barcelona to watch a soccer game or fly into Vienna to catch a Taylor Swift concert. People are doing that. They like it, but it’s totally okay if they are not able to use airplanes for that. It’s also okay if the business class is going back to relying on online calls and meetings like they did during COVID. There’s no reason for someone to fly to London just to present a power point.

    But there are also reasons why people might want or need to fly, for example to visit their family in a far away country. And that is really hard to balance in our current setup because rich people will be able to fly to Mallorca to get wasted on champagne, while your poor migrant will not be able to afford to fly to Turkey to visit their grandma for the last time.



  • And this is so problematic. First of all, there’s really a chilling effect going on with putting your real identity to your online posts. I’m not sure if I would be posting on here if everybody could link my profile here to my real name. There is a reason why people are not discussing depression, drug use, or marital problems with their work colleagues or neighbors. And people really would not like if prospective employers could see everything they are writing online.

    There’s also a chilling effect on political debate. You really do not want your home address being available to violent Neo-Nazis, Hamas supporters, Covid-deniers and other idiots. That will lead to harassment and this will lead to people stopping discussing certain topics.