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threelonmusketeers@sh.itjust.works to Astronomy@mander.xyzEnglish · 1 year ago

Don’t panic, but an asteroid has a 1.9% chance of hitting Earth in 2032

arstechnica.com

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Don’t panic, but an asteroid has a 1.9% chance of hitting Earth in 2032

arstechnica.com

threelonmusketeers@sh.itjust.works to Astronomy@mander.xyzEnglish · 1 year ago
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More data will likely reduce the chance of an impact to zero. If not, we have options.
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  • MrTrono@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    Am I supposed to panic because it’s unlikely to hit? Meanwhile I’m out here wishing for death by meteor.

    • threelonmusketeers@sh.itjust.worksOP
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      Just in case this comment is not a joke, here’s the WHO page on suicide prevention.

      Either way, there are a few billion other people on this planet who would rather not die by meteor, thank you very much.

      • PhobosAnomaly@feddit.uk
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        I mean, if I was going to go out, then getting my shit mixed by a meteor is pretty awesome. I’m sure I’ll make it on to a few Buzzfeed articles over the next ten or twenty years.

        All things considered though, it would indeed be nice if it landed somewhere inconsequential like the ocean; the desert; or Florida.

        • threelonmusketeers@sh.itjust.worksOP
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          Florida

          You jest, but the Kennedy Space Center is in Florida. Putting the world’s busiest spaceport out of commission might put a damper on future asteroid deflection missions…

          • grue@lemmy.world
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            Eh, they can launch from Vandenburg if it’s that important. (Or, ya know, Guiana or Baikonur or whatever.)

            • Mirshe@lemmy.world
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              Assuming any foreign space agency will work with NASA now…

        • murmelade@lemmy.ml
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          Hell yeah this would be my choice too on preferred way to die. There’s something beautifully deterministic about it, a random space rock flying around for millions of years and all my lifes choices and circumstances ending up in standing on the exact spot the meteorite ends its journey. Right in my head. Lovely.

        • ShaggySnacks@lemmy.myserv.one
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          What about hitting the Republican National Convention?

    • LouNeko@lemmy.world
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      Yeah I’ll take one for the team. I go to the point of impact and when it finaly hits, I’m gonna try to punch it back into orbit.

      You don’t have to thank me.

      • joelfromaus@aussie.zone
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        Honestly, at this point, there might be enough of us volunteering to bounce that fucker back to Jupiter. A lot of us will be turned into jam but I think it’s worth the sacrifice.

      • MrTrono@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        But I’m on team meteor

    • lordnikon@lemmy.world
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      Not to be a doomer but most of us will be dead by then I just hope the meteor takes out any lucky oligarchs still alive in a bunker.

      • Omgpwnies@lemmy.world
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        You think “most of us” will be dead in … 7 years? That’s pretty doomer if you ask me.

        • lordnikon@lemmy.world
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          I just read the ipcc reports and if you read those and don’t start a bucket list for the time we have left. I don’t know what to tell you. Trust me I don’t want to be this way I will fight where I can but I’m going to live my life the same time way a terminal patient lives. Cherish the days we got and if I’m wrong I will eat crow happily with a big smile on my face.

        • llamacoffee@lemmy.world
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          Very doomer. Does lemmy have a “remind me in 7 years” bot? 😅

  • Sterile_Technique@lemmy.world
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    Better late than never I guess.

    • Comment105@lemm.ee
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      I’m not even joking. I want this asteroid to hit our planet and make us all go the way of the dinos.

      • Da Cap’n@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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        1 year ago

        Yes, please!

  • HorikBrun@kbin.earth
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    1 year ago

    Panic?!

    You mean throw a welcome party?

  • parpol@programming.dev
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    To people having panic attacks, it is not large enough to destroy the earth, and we would have plenty of time to evacuate the impact location. Though let’s hope it isn’t anywhere with permafrost.

    • Jimmycakes@lemmy.world
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      You mean populate the impact zone because I’m going to watch

      • hungprocess@lemmy.sdf.org
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        Your browser does not support playing HTML5 video. You can download a copy of the video file instead.

      • Miles O'Brien@startrek.website
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        Yeah, my dogs will be gone by then so I would absolutely set up a tent close enough to catch it. I’d even bring a baseball glove for shits and giggles.

    • taiyang@lemmy.world
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      Aw, you think we’ll still have permafrost by then.

    • SuperSaiyanSwag@lemmy.zip
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      Well that’s disappointing

    • photonic_sorcerer@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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      It’ll be an equatorial impact.

  • Cform@lemmy.world
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  • solsangraal@lemmy.zip
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    deleted by creator

    • burgersc12@mander.xyz
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      1 year ago

    • Chakravanti@monero.town
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      Sync Earth’s magnetic union of it’s core a bit finer and it will do exactly that.

  • Etterra@discuss.online
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    I’m team asteroid.

  • cazssiew@lemmy.world
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  • THCDenton@lemmy.world
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    • blackstampede@sh.itjust.works
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      Unexpected Waterworld dipstick guy

      • THCDenton@lemmy.world
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        He’s my go-to for posts like these

        • blackstampede@sh.itjust.works
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          Underutilized meme format, honestly. It can apply to almost anything in daily life circa 2025.

  • DarkFuture@lemmy.world
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    Panic?

    I’m crossing my fingers for the wellbeing of the universe. We’re awful.

    • floquant@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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      Worry not, for we are insignificant to the universe.

      • Zacryon@feddit.org
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        Right now.

        • Zetta@mander.xyz
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          Forever, humanity could only ever conceivably expand so far due to the expansion of the universe, so as far as we know a still insignificant portion of the universe we could colonize.

          • Zacryon@feddit.org
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            Until we make some scientific breakthrough which might solve that problem. If there is any possible of course. There is so much we still don’t know.

  • Coreidan@lemmy.world
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    I’ll only panic if it misses

  • pjwestin@lemmy.world
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    That’s 0.9% more than the last time I checked. I know those are still really low odds, but we can hope…

    • xor@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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      don’t worry, it’ll just be like a small nuke, not a planet killer… (until they update the size estimates)

    • psud@aussie.zone
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      One of the things they’re doing is calculating what it’s orbit would have to be to hit the Earth, and where it would have had to have been on its last orbit to be in that orbit

      So they can look at any astronomical images of that part of the sky from then and see if it’s in the right place

      If they find images of the right part of the sky at the right time and the asteroid is not in it, they know it’s not on an orbit that will hit the Earth in 2032

    • quediuspayu@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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      I science podcast I follow already warned last week that the probability would go up at first as they narrow down its trajectory.
      They gave the example of a fan closing, as it gets narrow, the earth represents a bigger percentage of the remaining fan. If you keep closing the fan the Earth eventually will fall outside the fan and the percentage drop to zero.

      Unless it turns out that it is dead center.

  • vga@sopuli.xyz
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    Can we launch a satellite at it, perhaps detonate a huge nuke on it to make that chance higher?

    Wait, we could just detonate all those huge nukes here right now. Show that stupid asteroid.

    • Ricky Rigatoni@lemm.ee
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      Nuke the far side of the moon and plunge it into earth. Give the asteroid inadequacy issues.

      • threelonmusketeers@sh.itjust.worksOP
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        Wouldn’t detonating on the forward side rather than the zenith side be most effective at lowering the perigee of the moon?

        • Ricky Rigatoni@lemm.ee
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          all i remember from my ksp days is add more struts

          • Krik@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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            all i remember from my ksp days is add more struts boosters

            Fixed it for you.

            • Ricky Rigatoni@lemm.ee
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              Alas, without the struts, the boosters shall return unto The Lord, leaving thine kerbalnauts Kerbinbound.

        • Comment105@lemm.ee
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          You think humanity would be in this spot if the average person had a fucking clue whatsoever?

          • Rivalarrival@lemmy.today
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            Tell me you’ve never played Kerbal Space Program without telling me you’ve never played Kerbal Space Program.

    • Miles O'Brien@startrek.website
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      Project Sundial can still make a comeback.

  • adarza@lemmy.ca
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    is there any way to hurry it along?

  • AbsoluteChicagoDog@lemm.ee
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    deleted by creator

    • threelonmusketeers@sh.itjust.worksOP
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      Provided it enters in a similarly uninhabited location.

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