Mama told me not to come.

She said, that ain’t the way to have fun.

  • 50 Posts
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Joined 2 years ago
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Cake day: June 11th, 2023

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  • I guess we’re opposites then.

    I believe in prioritizing personal liberty, which means encouraging our worst instinct of greed and channeling it for the betterment of society. I believe wealth redistribution needs to be a core part of that to help those who fall through the cracks and ensure everyone can live with dignity, but that inequality is essential to properly motivate people to be productive.

    I believe in georgist and related tax policies, meaning:

    • hefty taxes on property (should result in a very progressive tax system)
    • relatively low cap on inheritance (say, $50M? Maybe even $10M?) to discourage dynasties, property outside of that is auctioned and proceeds
    • hefty carbon and related pollution taxes
    • low or no income and consumption taxes
    • excess taxes are redistributed to the people (say, as a form of UBI or Negative Income Tax)
    • unrelated to Georgism - no corporate protections after a certain size; corporate protections should only apply to smaller businesses

    Basically, you pay for the resources you exclude others from using, and you return the majority of it upon death. Society as a whole owns those resources, so this works as a form of rent paid to the people.

    Government regulation should be minimal, and governments should only step in for things like anti-trust. Most “regulations” should be precedent established by the courts with a jury, whether through lawsuits against individuals within a corporation or the corporation as a whole (latter should be more rare).

    I believe this system does a good job at correcting the negatives of capitalism while preserving its benefits.


  • AI will replace a lot of jobs

    It’ll also create jobs. That’s what new technologies do. We’ve been using robots in the auto manufacturing industry, which replaced lower skill (and lower paid) jobs with higher skill (and higher paid) jobs.

    If we ever get to the point where AI is more than a meme, in software development this means we’d end up with more architects and fewer “code monkeys,” so instead of working with syntax, they’d work with systems diagrams, and software engineering might look more like how CPU design works today (nobody works with individual gates anymore).

    Like other times in history, the transition may be painful. Those who adapt will thrive, and those who don’t will chase fewer and fewer jobs.

    They are also hurting public education, public information systems, grant programs, and anything not geared toward private profit

    I assume you’re talking about the current administration in the US here. I think most of this is temporary since it’s largely being done via EO instead of legislation. Some of it I agree with, most of it I don’t.

    Robots are being used for war more and more

    Yeah, it makes war into even more of an economic battle than it was previously. I’m on the fence on the one, on the one hand, it should mean less death, but on the other hand, ruthless countries could use it to terrorize innocent people. But they do that regardless (see Russia in Ukraine and Israel in Gaza).

    what is to stop them from being used on the population if protests occur contrary to wishes of the powerful

    Presumably the rule of law.

    It has slowed the addressing of the climate crisis

    Eh, the climate crisis is a lot more controversial. Even if we agree on what the solution is, the economic impact needs to be considered to not ruin economies during the transition. Also, the countries most interested in making changes are not the main contributors, so why ruin your economy if your competitor won’t and will end up winning in trade due to less climate investment.

    Open source projects prove the advances would have happened either way

    While I’m a huge proponent of FOSS, I don’t think this is true. Most contributions to large FOSS projects are by full time employed devs, say people at RedHat, Google, etc.

    Profit motive does a lot to focus development on things that sell. And companies like saving money, so a lot of propriety projects use FOSS components and even upstream changes to reduce their own workload.

    FOSS projects are generally developed by a for profit company and released for the community to maintain. Look at projects like React, it started as an in-house tool and then generalized to something the community could use and maintain. Most of the more popular projects started that way.

    UBI

    I support something like UBI to encourage more entrepreneurialism from those who don’t have the skills needed to secure investment. I’d like to lower the bar for people to pursue their passions so we get even more cool stuff.

    Capitalism is at the heart though, and profit is usually a necessary ingredient to turn an idea into a product. Without that motivation, it’ll remain a perennial personal project and likely go nowhere.

    is like nothing humanity has dealt with before

    I don’t think that’s true. Look at Standard Oil and other mega companies of the past, and look at kings and emperors before that.

    I think it’s pretty much the same as always, just with bigger markets and more transparency.

    Capitalism is just a bad system because it gives too much control to a minority of individuals over society.

    I don’t think that’s true. Democracy sounds like a great idea until you take a closer look. At one extreme is Hitler, and then there are people like Trump that are somewhere on the bad part of that spectrum.

    I think government works best when it’s separate from the economy. You think things are bad now? Let people like Musk and Bezos run the government and we’ll see what bad really looks like. Or even worse, give Trump complete control of the economy.

    People will elect populists, and populists are the worst people to run an economy.

    I think politicians should be as removed from the economy as possible. Limit what they can do and you’ll limit the effectiveness of lobbying efforts. Things like antitrust shouldn’t be defined by legislatures, but by juries setting precedent. Have the legislature lay the ground rules and courts flesh out minutia. Instead of that, we currently have executives setting policy, and that’s worse than both.

    Democracy works well on smaller scales, like in a company. For anything larger than that, we need representatives, and the larger scale that gets, the more likely they’ll give in to corruption.





  • The Trump administrations alone is a drastic ramping up of corruption

    Agreed, and if opinion polls are to be believed, people are noticing.

    The “big beautiful bill” is going to hurt a lot of people in a lot of ways.

    I obviously haven’t read through the whole thing, but it’s honestly a lot more tame than I expected. It’s still horrible, but I’m much more worried about what Trump is doing outside of legislation, like messing with tariffs and deporting people.

    With AI and robots making such advances and that technology being firmly in their control, it’s more important than ever for people to stand in solidarity and push harder for a more equitable society.

    I don’t see what AI and robots have to with anything. Are you worried they’re going to take everyone’s jobs?

    This sounds like the same FUD every time there’s a big tech change. People were worried the cotton gin would, automobile, and computers would kill jobs, yet here we are with relatively stable employment figures. Yes, it’ll cause change, but at the end of the day, businesses need consumers, so it’s in their interest to keep money circulating.

    I agree we need to make changes, but that’s completely separate from recent innovations. I think we need something like UBI (my preference is to replace Social Security with a negative income tax), not because I’m worried about mass unemployment, but so we can increase innovation. Many people don’t pursue their ideas because they’re worried about putting food on the table.

    Things are always at an inflection point. I’m more worried about the protectionist BS countries are doing today than anything involving AI.


  • how bad those statistics are being collected today in the US

    Most of that data was collected outside of Trump’s terms, either under Biden or Obama, and the trend is consistent.

    it doesn’t account for cost of living expenses

    It uses “real” dollars, which accounts for inflation. So yes, it does.

    Income distribution is irrelevant here, I’m looking at median incomes rising over time, relative to inflation. Musk or Bezos making billions doesn’t skew these numbers since they’re not mean numbers (average).

    I could probably dig up some stats that break it down by income percentile, but I’m worried you’ll just reject it because it doesn’t fit your worldview. If you provide some evidence to back up your claims (not just income gap, that’s well known, but that people are becoming worse off), I’ll go dig through the data and see what I can find. But “things are actually getting better” don’t make headlines, so there’s a lot of rage bait to dig through.

    most of the people I know are barely getting by and have nothing for retirement

    Anecdotes aren’t statistics.

    If you go back 50 years, people still didn’t save enough for retirement. Pensions largely filled in the gap there, but a lot of people still fell through the cracks. That’s largely not an income problem and more a priorities problem. Show me someone who doesn’t have enough for retirement and I can show you someone with a similar income who did. Even people with huge incomes often live paycheck to paycheck.

    Obviously individual circumstances differ, but individual circumstances don’t define trends.

    the majority of younger Americans have far less wealth than our parents or grandparents did at our age

    Do you have sources to back any of this up?

    Dark Money

    That certainly happens, but stories like this are mostly rage bait.

    Do you think companies suddenly got greedy recently? They’ve always been greedy, and have been screwing people over since time immemorial.

    The reason things get more expensive isn’t because some capitalist decided to suddenly become more greedy, it’s because of supply and demand.

    Things shot up in price during COVID for a number of reasons:

    • less supply due to supply chain disruption
    • more cash due to stimulus payments and less work expenses
    • more time at home, so people invested more in things to do at home

    Yet people blame “those greedy capitalists” when really it’s consumer behavior largely driving up prices.

    When the cause of higher prices is resolved, prices tend to return to normal. For example:

    • eggs were $5+/dozen at the start of the year and hard to find due to supply shortage from a bird flu epidemic, now they’re around $2.50 (both at my local Costco); that’s about where they were a year ago
    • houses in my area are dropping in price and staying on the market longer since construction is catching up
    • used cars were frequently more expensive than new back in 2022 or so, and now both new and used are largely in line with inflation adjusted 2019 figures (e.g. base model 2026 Prius is ~$30k, vs $25k MSRP for 2019, or ~$31k after inflation)

    technology inevitably creating some surplus, not trickle down from the rich

    I don’t know what you mean by “trickle down from the rich,” but things like technological change is funded by the rich. Reagan was certainly an idiot here, my point is merely that things get better partially because of investments by the rich. That generally doesn’t mean you make more money, but that you get more for your money (e.g. everyone seems to have smartphones now vs almost nobody 20 years ago).

    climate change

    This doesn’t seem related, not sure why you bring it up. If anything, it’ll create jobs since we’ll need people to build dikes, rebuild coastal homes, etc, at the cost of reduced GDP since it’s not actually productive work.

    the last 50 years have not been kind to poorer Americans.

    Afaik, no time is kind to poorer people. But I firmly believe poorer people are better off today than they were 50 years ago.


  • housing and rent prices are shooting up at absurd rates

    They’re actually stabilizing and coming down a little in some areas, so I think we’re likely to see a bit of a correction now that construction seems to be catching up with demand.

    But housing is also a major factor in inflation, which is why I linked inflation-adjusted figures. That data shows that wages are rising slowly relative to the prices of things. Some things will increase in price faster than others, so housing has been outpacing other things people spend money on. All that comes out in the wash in the averages.

    we can take care of everyone

    Right, and I agree with you.

    My point is that despite all that, the average person is better off each year than they were the previous. There are obviously ups and downs, and each person is affected differently, but the median person generally does better each year. It’s easy to lose sight of that when we see prices going up w/ inflation, but it tends to work out.




  • For much of history, comfort and stability wasn’t available to anyone, at least a large portion of society today in developed counties could claim that (anything lower middle class and up).

    Things could certainly be better, I’m just pointing out that things are a lot better than many doomers claim. This lady is certainly super entitled, but the fact that the average person can afford to fly across the world is pretty awesome.