A reminder that as the US continues to threaten countries around the world, fedposting is to be very much avoided (even with qualifiers like “in Minecraft”) and comments containing it will be removed.

An image of Muwaffaq Salti Air Base in Jordan, c. February, where Iranian strikes have caused substantial damage and several US soldier deaths and casualties.


My weekly preamble is in spoiler tags below.

preamble

After an uncertain beginning to this second major period of hostilities, we can now see the overall plan for either side.

For the Americans, their fire has been primarily focussed on southern Iran, where they have been attempting to break Iran’s control of Hormuz by a steady campaign of striking both military and civilian sites. Additionally, it looks like the US is attempting to shape the battlefield around Bandas Abbas and Qeshm Island for some kind of incursion, as we have seen bridges and tunnels in the vicinity struck by missiles. The key word there is “attempting”, because there are several things wrong with this plan both tactically and strategically.

Tactically, Iran has demonstrated the ability to very quickly get their transportation infrastructure repaired, and the US simply isn’t firing volleys in the required amounts - and towards the right targets (they’re using several missiles on purely civilian targets, like fishing boats) - to meaningfully degrade Iranian control of even this sector of the coastline. Additionally, an amphibious assault on Qeshm Island in the style of the WW2 Pacific theater is essentially impossible unless Iran, for whatever reason, allowed it. The gauntlet that any ship holding Marines would have to run to get to the island precludes this, let alone also transporting heavy weaponry and materiel for resupply. Using helicopter-borne troops or paratroopers would be much more feasible, but runs into even greater logistical problems if the US wanted to do anything there other than a brief skirmish before withdrawing. Strategically, even if the US waved a magic wand and took Qeshm Island, it’s unclear what this would do to fulfill war aims. The most obvious intention would be to trade it back to Iran in return for a major Iranian concession, but what if you take the island, you call up Iran saying “Alright, let’s get this deal running! First, I want no Hormuz tolls–” and Iran just… hung up, and kept firing drones and missiles and artillery at your forces on the island until they either all died or were forced to retreat? It’s not a tenable position to hold, and Iran’s capabilities to affect shipping in Hormuz are obviously not all concentrated on one single island.

So, what is Iran’s strategy? It’s what one analyst (Amerikanets) has termed “debasification”. If the first phase of the war from late February to mid-April was focussed primarily on generally destroying and disrupting the US’s military infrastructure in the region, what this second phase has planned is something more like a region-wide missile advance. Starting from the Gulf states and their US bases, the plan is to push back American planes and soldiers to further and further afield bases and thereby make sorties against Iran take much more time, fuel, and use more resupply planes. Iranian strikes are, as of me writing this, concentrated on Jordan, where a recent Iranian strike caused the first admission of soldier deaths in quite some time. The Iranian goal is clearly to push back all US planes to at least the Zionist entity, by which point, unless they are withdrawn further back all the way to Europe, the planes will all be so concentrated on so few bases that it will become a physical impossibility to get them all scrambled before Iranian strikes hit. Compared to the US’s strategy, Iran’s is immediately bearing fruit, with US strikes already very limited in intensity compared to the first phase of the war months ago. The irony of the US breaking off negotiations - again! - to pursue a new strategy that already looks to be profoundly failing is truly some inspired stuff; the genocidal architects of American imperium in the mid-20th century are rolling in their graves.


Last week’s thread is here.
The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

The Zionist Entity's Genocide of Palestine

If you have evidence of Zionist crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against the temporary Zionist entity. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on the Zionists’ destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

Mirrors of Telegram channels that have been erased by Zionist censorship.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don’t want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it’s just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists’ side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR’s former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR’s forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster’s telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a ‘propaganda tax’, if you don’t believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


  • Tervell [he/him]@hexbear.net
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    HAHAHAHA holy shit I am going to go insane matt-joker https://xcancel.com/bonzerbarry/status/2079607755334193448

    WSJ reports that the Pentagon is reducing training and maintenance, vital to military readiness, because of the urgent budget shortfall caused by the Iran war.

    https://archive.ph/370Ig

    The Pentagon, sinking billions into Iran war, is quickly running short on cash

    With some funds set to dry up within weeks, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth is set to press lawmakers Tuesday to address the increasingly urgent shortfall.

    more

    The Pentagon faces an urgent budget shortfall caused largely by the war in Iran, with some critical lines of funding set to run out within weeks even as President Donald Trump escalates the conflict with Tehran, according to lawmakers and current and former U.S. officials. The funding crunch is already leading the Pentagon to limit training and maintenance that help maintain military readiness, according to four current and former officials, speaking on the condition of anonymity to candidly describe the budget constraints. And the collapsed ceasefire with Iran could further strain the military’s budget: After four U.S. service members died during more than a week of intensified fighting, officials in Washington signaled they were preparing for a wider conflict. The White House has asked Congress for an immediate infusion of $67 billion to help cover the costs of the war, but lawmakers are gridlocked over how to proceed. The House plans to leave Washington on Thursday for a month-long recess, leaving any deal on military funding weeks away at the earliest. “Everybody needs to look at this situation and get rid of the complacency that they have,” Rep. Pat Harrigan (North Carolina), a Republican member of the House Armed Services Committee, said in an interview. The Pentagon did not respond to a request for comment Monday. On Tuesday, after this article published, press secretary Sean Parnell said in a statement that Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth would “do whatever is necessary” to preserve military readiness and that defense funding is “essential.”

    On Tuesday, Hegseth and Joint Chiefs Chairman Gen. Dan Caine are scheduled to make their case for the money before the Senate Appropriations Committee — the first public hearing centered on the package. They last appeared on Capitol Hill in May, before a tenuous ceasefire broke down. White House budget director Russell Vought is also set to address Republican lawmakers Tuesday morning. Unless Congress acts, multiple current and former officials said the military will quickly be forced to make even more painful trade-offs. Trump launched the airstrike campaign in late February, repeatedly saying it would end within weeks. The conflict has instead lasted for months as Iran has closed the Strait of Hormuz — a vital waterway for the oil and fertilizer trade — and caused turmoil in the global economy. Vought told lawmakers last month that the war had so far cost about $30 billion, but some independent analysts say the price tag is likely much higher. The White House estimate does not include the cost of rebuilding U.S. bases in the Middle East damaged by Iranian strikes.

    yeah, 'cause, uh, they’re probably not gonna rebuild those catgirl-smug

    The conflict has put unexpected stress on the Navy and Air Force, which have deployed aircraft and warships to the Middle East. Parts of the 2026 budget covering ongoing military operations for both services are on track to run out by the end of this month, according to two congressional aides, speaking on the condition of anonymity to candidly describe a sensitive budget situation.

    they… ran through their yearly budget in a few months of a moderately-intense bombardment & blockading campaign… just… how? what were all these massive budgets even for!?

    To bridge the gap until the 2027 fiscal year begins on Oct. 1, the Pentagon is already moving money around. Military exercises and trainings that help keep units prepared for combat are being limited or canceled, the four current and former officials said. The budget for equipment and facility and maintenance is also being drained to cover the shortfalls, the officials said.

    you know what will help our massive readiness issues? that’s right, cutting maintenance budgets!

    In recent weeks, the Pentagon has asked Congress for permission to reallocate $4.3 billion from trainings and weapons purchases to address more urgent priorities, according to a document reviewed by The Washington Post. Congress has yet to act on that request. A Trump administration official said the White House budget office was working to move some funding to the Pentagon’s operations and maintenance accounts. Doing so would come at the cost of other key programs, the person said, without offering further specifics. NBC News previously reported on some of the military’s budget constraints. Meanwhile, House Republicans are crafting a package using a complicated tool known as reconciliation to try to speed some money through Congress. The House is expected to vote this week on a framework that would authorize $73 billion in fresh defense spending, slightly more than the White House request. But that strategy faces significant hurdles in the Senate, where Majority Leader John Thune (R-South Dakota) has cast doubt on its prospects. Democrats have mostly said they oppose any new funding for the Iran conflict as part of a legislative blockade of major defense bills while the administration pursues a war that has drawn bipartisan objections. Even lawmakers open to additional funding — including some Republicans — have expressed frustration at the Pentagon’s delays in communicating with Congress.

    When Hegseth testified before the House panel on defense spending in April, committee leaders urged him to provide information on the war’s costs as soon as possible. The Pentagon later missed the panel’s deadline and has since failed to share requested details for weeks, including the number of precision weapons the military has in its inventories after burning through thousands of munitions in Iran, according to lawmakers and congressional aides. “We need to know what we’re purchasing and why we’re purchasing it,” Rep. Betty McCollum of Minnesota, the top Democrat on the panel, said in an interview. Hegseth has at times dismissed concerns about munitions shortages, telling CBS News in an interview last month that U.S. stockpiles were “great, and they’re only getting stronger.” In private, Pentagon officials have expressed far greater anxiety, according to current and former officials, arguing that the military desperately needs more money to restock munitions needed to deter U.S. adversaries like Russia and China. After receiving a private briefing from top Pentagon officials, McCollum said replenishing these weapons was clearly a top administration priority and that Pentagon officials other than Hegseth were “very concerned” that lawmakers were not receiving the information they needed to make decisions on additional funding.

    This year’s defense budget is about $1 trillion including $150 billion in one-time funding Congress approved last year for a range of military priorities, from advanced weapons systems to energizing the U.S. defense industry. The Trump administration has requested $1.5 trillion for 2027, a massive increase that has sparked a fierce debate on Capitol Hill. Some lawmakers in both parties have shown discomfort with the total, due to concerns about adding to the $39 trillion national debt and financing an unpopular war. A recent Washington Post-Ipsos poll found that only 28 percent of Americans say the war has been worth fighting, compared with 68 percent who say it was not — on par with the worst assessments of the war in Afghanistan. Work on spending bills has been stalled in the Senate because of a stand-off among appropriators. Democrats have refused to support any fiscal year 2027 funding until a deal is reached on overall spending levels, as they oppose the hike in defense spending put forward by Republicans. Unexpected absences on the Senate Appropriations Committee have further complicated Republican efforts to begin some work on spending measures. Sen. Mitch McConnell (R-Kentucky), who chairs the panel on defense spending, has missed votes for a month while recovering from an injury. And Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-South Carolina), another member of the panel, died suddenly last week from what a medical examiner preliminarily ruled an aortic dissection.

    lol. getting your legislature paralyzed because you kept a bunch of decrepit lich-lords in power too long and they all croaked in the middle of really important negotiations skeleton-wave

    Harrigan, the North Carolina Republican, mostly faulted Democrats for the broader budget impasse but acknowledged that his party also deserves some blame. “There’s no question,” Harrigan said, “that every portion of those responsible for bringing the defense budget across the finish line — to include the Pentagon — are complicit.”

    it’s not even that big of a war lmao, this is not even a modicum of the forces gathered for Iraq '03, which was already notably smaller than Iraq '91!

    also the “security apparatus leaking like a sieve trying to put the brakes on this historic blunder” continues, fortunately the deep state apparently no longer has the capacity to actually just shoot guys threatening the empire from within so they’re reduced to just impotently leaking their “concern” and “anxiety”

  • Lovely_sombrero [he/him]@hexbear.net
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    Mechanical Turk warning.

    Tesla remote operator crashed a ‘Robotaxi’ in Houston, NHTSA data shows. Tesla has filed four new “Robotaxi” crash reports with NHTSA, and the most revealing one involves a Tesla remote operator driving the vehicle into a tree stump in Houston. It’s the third crash Tesla has now reported involving a human operating the car remotely caused the collision — and the first one Tesla has formally coded as remote operation in its filing.

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    Trump announces the US will hit Iran’s Pickaxe Mountain nuclear facility “pretty soon very heavily,” adding “there’s nothing they can do about it,”

    Rumors of B-1 Bombers taking off from a UK base.

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    Interest rates are going up, WTI oil futures are at ~$84 (up over 2% for the day) and USD/JPY is hitting 163. I would like to think that it is happening, but I’m sure that Trump can still pump the market with fake news of a ceasefire or something. With tariffs, Trump started backing off as the US 10Y interest rate crossed 4.5. Now we are at 4.6 and climbing. But I’m sure this is something that the proposed $1.5 trillion US military budget can fix!

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      Nothing ever happens with sovereign bond interest rates is a pretty good heuristic. They’re gambling on whether the Fed will raise rates (or keep it at current level for a long time).

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    the most winningest not-desperate man alive https://archive.ph/y2ScZ

    ‘You Don’t Know Anything!’ Trump Snaps at Reporter Asking What His Plan Is With Iran

    President Donald Trump went off on ABC News White House correspondent Mary Bruce during a Tuesday press conference in the Oval Office after she asked him about the Iran war, with the president saying she didn’t know “anything” about the conflict. "Mr. President, there are no signs that Iran is ready to stop fighting, so what is the plan? Is the plan to just keep fighting until they give up?" Bruce asked. The president was agitated by the question and bashed her for it. “How would you know there are no signs? Why, do you know something that I don’t know?” he shot back.

    uh, yeah, pretty sure a lot of people know stuff you don’t about the war at this point…

    'Well, they continue to attack our allies and kill Americans—" Bruce started to respond, before Trump cut her off. “You don’t know what the dialogue is behind the scenes. They want to meet desperately to try and end it, because they’re getting decimated. You don’t get that when you’re listening to your fake station, but you don’t know anything.” Bruce started to ask if talks were ongoing, as Trump continued peppering her with questions. “You know something I don’t know? Do you know something I don’t know?” he said. “Well tell us,” Bruce said. “I will tell you they want to desperately meet, and until they are ready to meet in a meaningful way, we have no interest,” Trump answered.

    The president previously branded Bruce a “terrible person” last year when she asked him questions about Jeffrey Epstein and his family’s business deals in Saudi Arabia. Their feisty exchange on Tuesday followed an Iranian attack on a military base in Jordan that killed two American soldiers last weekend. The U.S. has responded with more military strikes, which reached 10 consecutive days on Monday. “They did slip something through,” Trump said about the Jordan attack a bit later in the Tuesday press conference. He reiterated his administration’s goal is for Iran to never obtain a nuclear weapon.

    https://xcancel.com/bonzerbarry/status/2079590161260667323

    Trump: We are doing very well, we are degrading them at levels that nobody thought was possible, they’ve been degraded uh really, uh… so seriously. They did slip something through in Jordan, and uhh if we had… other operators you know, it would’ve… not happened unfortunately. But uhh, because we have the best equipment in the world.

    trying to listen to this man actively rots your brain

    I honestly have no idea what he’s saying, is this a DEI angle?

    Yeah he’s blaming the 19 year old Hispanic chick who got vaporized sounds like. Classy stuff

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      “You don’t know what the dialogue is behind the scenes. They want to meet desperately to try and end it, because they’re getting decimated. You don’t get that when you’re listening to your fake station, but you don’t know anything.”

      This is such a standard reply from Trump now, it has the same effect on me as when Biden talks about how much he likes ice cream.

  • FortifiedAttack [any]@hexbear.net
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    Oh my god, a news report in my country just banged on about how the protests in Ukraine show how great of a democracy it is. i-cant

    Yeah, I’m sure a bunch of clueless Thiel puppets protesting against their Techno-Wunderwaffen genius Fedorov getting shown the door is a wonderful example of democracy, in a system where any real political opposition has been banned and the president is already serving 2 years over his elected term.

    Then they interview a random protestor and he says, paraphrased: “I’m protesting because Fedorov was digitalizing the frontline. I support full digitalization of the front.” agony-acid

    I can’t believe what the RWAPodcast guys on Twitter were saying was actually 100% accurate. This is fucking insane no-i-in-pezza

    If they actually kick out Syrskyi then we might just see a complete collapse in Ukraine due to techbro AI brainworms. sicko-flipped

  • ClathrateG [none/use name]@hexbear.net
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    Kyiv post: Crimea Plunges Into Darkness Again as Fresh Blasts Hit Russian Energy Grid https://archive.is/4CG2N

    Not that I recommend anyone ever read Kyivpost, but I found the headline interesting in that they’re admitting that Crimea is Russian

    I even checked if they meant they hit the grid in Russia proper and the knock-on effects blacked out Crimea, but no:

    Citing satellite imagery, Crimean Wind said fires broke out near the 110/10 kV Zorya electrical substation

    That’s substation and other targets named are in Crimea

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    The Telegraph independently corroborating WaPo’s story from two days ago that the White House is not being told about the scale of munition shortages

    Very funny!

    But rumours are spreading across the administration that the Pentagon is concealing a shortage of interceptor missiles, which are needed to resume the war. There are also suggestions that the White House does not want to know about the scale of the shortfall.

    Analysis by the Royal United Services Institute in March calculated the US and its allies had burned through more than 11,000 munitions in the first 16 days of war, and predicted they were a month away from running out of critical munitions.

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    https://xcancel.com/_Kinez_/status/2079510525252125179

    🇺🇦

    First Half of 2026:
    Births: 73292 (-15.56%)
    Deaths: 259853 (+4.4%)
    Death to Birth ratio up to 3.55!!! from 2.87
    Source: ministry of justice final data, https://minjust.gov.ua/files/general/2026/07/21/20260721125445-65.xlsx

    Table shows births change, i will do other tables and graphics in coming hours

    more

    Births, Deaths, Natural Increase (decrease), Deaths per Birth by oblast for 2026 H1

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    dude just one more strategic bombardment campaign, this time it will work I swear, come on, can’t you see all the super amazing bombers and missiles we’ve bought? come on, just let me bomb one more time… https://xcancel.com/ArmsControlWonk/status/2079386910573896069

    Scoop: U.S. intelligence reports offer a pessimistic view of new rounds of U.S. military strikes against Iran: They are unlikely to have a significant impact on Iran or soften its negotiating position, current and former officials tell @wstrobel and me.

    (same article as in https://hexbear.net/comment/7322911)

    What frustrates me about The Discourse™️ is the recurring surprise that airpower cannot immiserate a population into regime change. This is the single most-tested proposition in the coercion literature, and it has failed every test since Douhet.


    https://xcancel.com/VicinageClause/status/2079427248747405365

    Well, imperial Japan was defeated from the air. And, mostly Grozny was encircled and then bombed to submission—although it’s true the last yard was taken on the ground

    The minutes of the Japanese cabinet is available and it is clear that they were far more concerned by the Soviet invasion of Manchuria than American bombing (including the nuclear bombs). Their fear that this would lead to annexation of the northern part of Japan.

    That’s where this error originates. Imperial Japan surrendered because the Soviet Union declared war and started quickly progressing against Japanese armies on the ground.

    Yea that ignores the 3 years of attritional warfare in the pacific and its subsequent blockade of Japan.

    Grozny was not bombed into submission. The Russians had to go into it and fight the battle they didn’t want to fight.

    https://xcancel.com/autunite1878/status/2079391808681877930

    Real immiseration of the population with air power has never been tried,

    • miz [any, any]@hexbear.net
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      Well, imperial Japan was defeated from the air.

      WRONG the proximate cause of their surrender was the Soviet breakthrough in Manchuria

      EDIT: next paragraph says that but I thought it was one long tweet, not a thread

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        I feel like there is a generation of Marines and GIs that would kick someone in the groin for saying Japan was defeated “from the air.” The d-day landing on Okinawa was larger than the one in Normandy as just one example.

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          Okinawa being the largest battle fought between the US and the Japanese in the pacific - noteworthy for being larger than the allied invasion of Normandy - is kind of ridiculous when you consider the Soviets, in a single battle, removed six times more Japanese soldiers from the war in a third of the time.

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        next paragraph says that but I thought it was one long tweet, not a thread

        Yeah, I didn’t want to do a separate xcancel link for each one since it would make the post too noisy with links, but I guess it also makes it confusing when I’m quoting a bunch of separate tweets one after another

  • InevitableSwing [none/use name]@hexbear.net
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    The Guardian - Two oil tankers loaded with Saudi crude for China and ​India have made U-turns in the Red Sea on Tuesday and were headed ​toward ‌the ‌Suez, shipping data on LSEG ‌showed. As Reuters reports, on Monday, Yemen’s Houthi militia declared a naval blockade against Saudi Arabia, ​opening a potential new front against the US in its war ​with Iran ​and raising ​the threat ​to ‌global energy supplies ​and ​trade beyond the Gulf.

  • AlHouthi4President@lemmy.ml
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    Zionist entity massacres entire family of six in Gaza City, home engulfed in flames while they slept

    An ‘Israeli’ strike on Tuesday targeted the Masri family home in Gaza City’s Sabra neighborhood, killing an entire family and setting the residential building ablaze.

    The victims were identified as father Feras Ahmad al-Masri, mother Salsabil Mohammad al-Masri, and their four children: Naim, Feryal, Salma, and Amira.

    According to local reports and civil defense officials, the strike hit the apartment late at night while the family was asleep, causing the entire residence to become engulfed in flames. Rescue teams arriving at the scene found the apartment completely burned, with several bodies charred to the extent that identification efforts continued into the following morning.

    The explosion also forced residents in surrounding areas to flee in search of safety, while shrapnel reportedly reached nearby displacement camps, piercing tents housing displaced Palestinians.

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    https://archive.ph/1MJBv

    ‘Everyone’s afraid to die’: Struggle to recruit soldiers in Ukraine turns violent

    Vasyl Krupych knows what it is to fight for Ukraine. He describes terrifying scenes from battles in the eastern Donbas region where, sometimes praying, sometimes crying, the machine gunner somehow survived the onslaught by Russian troops. But last December, by then serving in the rear, Krupych was attacked by his own countrymen whilst out searching for draft dodgers. He says two men ignored demands to show their documents and fled. When his patrol gave chase, Krupych was badly beaten with a crowbar. He spent six weeks in hospital. “He broke my rib, I was lying there and couldn’t breathe,” the veteran recalled in a recent interview. “What did we fight for, if soldiers can now get beaten?”

    lol, guy feeding his countrymen into the meatgrinder is really mad at facing some actual resistance. peak cop mentality

    kudos to Ukrainian Gordon Freeman for beating the shit out of this fuck

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    Surge in violence

    Ukraine’s military ombudswoman says such attacks are now “regular” and “a major problem” as the country struggles to mobilise men to fight in the fifth, draining year of Russia’s full-scale invasion. It’s not a topic people here care to discuss much, wary of feeding Russian propaganda. But the latest National Police Service report recorded more than 600 assaults on recruitment officers to date and warned that the aggression has become “increasingly threatening”. The first big alert came in April when several recruiters were stabbed, one fatally. Then this month in Lviv, some 200 protesters surrounded officers attempting to detain a suspected draft dodger and smashed and overturned their car. The riot made headlines as President Volodymyr Zelensky condemned violence against serving soldiers. His controversial decision since then to sack Defence Minister Mykhailo Fedorov – over a clash of character and vision with Ukraine’s commander-in-chief – means attempts to address the conscription crisis will stall. But the anger that just exploded in Lviv suggests that the need is urgent.

    ‘Busification’

    The reasons appear to range from plain fear of the front line – now everyone knows someone who’s been injured or killed - to a reluctance to sign up for a war that has no end in sight. The only surge of enthusiasm since the initial rush to the front was in late 2023, when Ukraine launched a counter-offensive to seize back territory in the south-east. It didn’t last. That’s when the “brutal mobilisation” phase began, according to opposition MP Oleksandr Honcharenko. He blames that for the backlash. “These officers are hunting for people on the streets and sometimes using quite violent methods,” the MP says. “Violence leads to violence. It’s a huge problem and it’s going to get worse.” Military analyst Ivan Stupak agrees. “We started to suffer a lack of manpower on the battlefield, constant losses,” he recalls. “Ukraine’s high command had to refill these losses so they started busification.” That’s the term Ukrainians use for mobile patrols that end up with men bundled into buses, and off to serve. “When they need an extra 5,000 men, they start grabbing them - and if they refuse it turns into fights on the street.”

    The professor’s story

    So for every story of a draft officer attacked, there are accounts of violence by recruiters themselves. Ukraine’s Human Rights Commissioner recorded more than 6,000 such complaints last year - double the 2024 tally. They include claims of abuse and unlawful detention as well as poor conditions at recruitment centres. Kyrylo Ogdansky still gets upset when he talks about what happened to him in Dnipro last November. The university professor, who is exempt from the draft, was approached in the street by a man in plain clothes who wanted to check his call-up status. There are rules about such patrols, including having police officers present, so Ogdansky objected. Then he was assaulted. “One of them knocked the phone from my hand and two pushed me into the bus from behind. When I asked what’s happening, one started to beat me to the head. He hit me in the nose several times,” Ogdansky tells me. He remembers the threat to send him straight to the front line. “He said ‘I can call the commander and you’ll go to Pokrovsk’.” Instead, the professor spent two weeks in hospital with a suspected neck injury and big purple-black bruises beneath his eyes. He has made formal official complaints but was hesitant about speaking publicly, aware that such things look bad for Ukraine in the middle of a war. “Russian propaganda uses such things very actively. But such a problem exists,” Ogdansky explains his decision. “If everyone is silent, then why would it stop? I understand the problem of conscription, but no official has the right to act like this.”

    Vasyl’s story

    It’s clear that Vasyl Krupych experienced horrors at war. He volunteered at the very start and has survived some of the grimmest battles. Krupych is proud of his service - a tattoo on his neck declares “Glory to the Ukrainian Armed Forces” – but he suffers from nightmares. When his vehicle was hit by an FPV drone, he was badly injured but managed to drag one friend to safety. He saw two others burned to death. Now, when we discuss the increase in attacks against draft officers, his words drip with hurt. It’s not just about what he suffered himself: that case is still going through the courts. It’s also the gulf between what he has endured and those doing everything possible to avoid the same. “We are doing our duty. We fought, we defended our people - and now they are attacking us.” I wonder what he thinks might motivate people to serve, instead of coercing them, and he mentions raising salaries. But then he shrugs. “It can’t be done differently, it can’t. Our lads need to be replaced. But nobody volunteers,” he says. “Everyone is afraid to die.”

    What to do?

    In his six months as defence minister, Mykhailo Fedorov did start introducing reforms to tackle the growing crisis. He began with moves meant to make military service more attractive: fixed-term contracts for new recruits, with the option to defer further service, and better salaries, especially for the riskiest roles. But it was an early work in progress and overhauling conscription was still on his to-do list when he was sacked. Proposals have included handing draft patrols over to police, who are less personally invested in the task. There’s talk of proper training, too, for officers, and psychological screening. Ukraine does admit openly that it has a problem, which is new. But it now has only an acting defence minister, and still no solution.

    • InexplicableLunchFiend [he/him]@hexbear.net
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      2 hours ago

      So for every story of a draft officer attacked, there are accounts of violence by recruiters themselves. Ukraine’s Human Rights Commissioner recorded more than 6,000 such complaints last year

      But the latest National Police Service report recorded more than 600 assaults on recruitment officers to date

      Here we see the Ukrainian difficulty with arithmetic. 600 attacks on recruiters since 2022 vs. 6000 attacks on recruitees in 2025 alone. This is somehow “for every story of an officer attacked, there are accounts of violence by recruiters”. Yes, one side that is empowered by the state and regularly beats and attacks and sends hundreds of thousands to certain death is just as bad as the side that defends themselves maybe 2% of the time.

      Here we see the bullshit “clashes” type equivocation of Nazi barbarity of the west vs. those who resist it

      • Tervell [he/him]@hexbear.net
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        4 hours ago

        “Freeman”'s a really apt name for a guy dodging the draft too

        zelensky-pain “And yet unsophisticated minds continue to imbue him with romantic power, giving him such dangerous poetic labels as the ‘One Free Man’, the ‘Opener of the Way’.”

    • SexUnderSocialism [she/her]@hexbear.net
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      5 hours ago

      It’s not a topic people here care to discuss much, wary of feeding Russian propaganda.

      We might feed Russian propaganda if we tell you the truth. Therefore we will continue to lie to you.

      • FALGSConaut [comrade/them]@hexbear.net
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        3 hours ago

        Funny how often objective reality lines up with “Russian propaganda”, like when the Canadian parliament gave a standing ovation to a literal SS soldier but when someone pointed it out it was suddenly Russian propaganda