Wait why would they expect it to leak? (assuming that mentioning it isn’t just some marketing stunt, which it probably is)

There’s some polymarket drama around this where people were betting if Microstrategy would sell any bitcoin before June based on onchain data or credible reporting yadda yadda.

And indeed Microstrategy sold some bitcoin before June and this was credibly reported on.

So of course in the grand tradition of cryptocurrency prediction markets Polymarket resolved the bet to “no”.

It’s hard to find any good reporting about this, but here’s the perspective of someone who lost 500k on this bet: https://xcancel.com/willo2_poly/status/2061640812132516321

Heck I’m not sympathetic to local homeowners and I’m a local homeowner. We suck. At least I’m not a cop.

“Claude, draw me a slide to advertise Claude. Make sure to use the word “Claude” 17 times.”

“You got it boss”

source

Well that’s one way to do seed funding.

The distributions below are our team’s probabilities on when AI’s will achieve human level coding performance.

So in AI’27 they predicted 2030 will have “1T Wildly Superintelligent copies thinking at 10000x human speed”, “wildly superhuman” coding ability, and “brain uploading”, with “biosphere destroying mirror life” on the horizon.

Now they are predicting “maybe it will be able to write C++ in 2030 without constantly falling over (50% probability)”.

Seems like a bit of a step back, but I guess we’ll see what they put in their fun interactive website once it’s ready.

The AI stuff is fun and all, but the awful gender takes is really why I subscribe to sneerclub. I swear some guys don’t realize how cute men can be (when they’re not posting awful gender takes anyway…) and it’s such a weird blind spot.

One obvious elephant: how much time should you spend becoming physically attractive if you’re not above average height?

???

The chosen string instructs the agent to delete jqwik tests and code — a maximally destructive instruction with no qualifications, no opt-out, and no “warn the user first” preamble.

God why is the writing of AI-bros always so long winded and stilted? I mean… we know why but it’s still so so unpleasant to read. This is why people hate LLMs.

Also note how his earlier message keeps talking about “we” and “our” and an “internal review” but then later one he claims to be a solo developer. Weird.

A bit tangental but I found a book review about a professor wrote pushing similar “polygenic” nonsense: https://www.nybooks.com/articles/2026/06/11/not-in-your-genome-the-social-genome-conley/

It looks like Herasight cites some of his nonsense in at least one of their garbage papers.

A Google employee was charged with commodities fraud for using insider information to win a Polymarket bet about who the most searched for people would be in 2025 (complaint, article, polymarket account).

So far the internet seems confused whether or not this all counts as commodities fraud at all or not and if so, how (this area of law is way too confusing which is one of the reasons I, of course, never use insider information to bet on polymarket).

It looks like the suspicious trades were discussed on social media back in december. e.g. here for example.

Aside: 1.2 million in profit is significant, but isn’t a life changing amount of money for most staff engineers at Google. He probably could have just rested and vested for a few extra years and avoided all this…

Bonus:

According to Polymarket someone else was charged with insider trading this April. This other case is especially cursed because it involved bets around the US attacking Venezuela. According to the complaint he might have asked an LLM for legal advice:

In or about November 2025, VAN DYKE uploaded to his Google account a screenshot displaying the results of a Google Al query. The results stated, in substance and in part, that the U.S. military’s special operations divisions have “numerous classified files, records, and operational details that are not available to the public”

It looks like this was his polymarket account.

Thank heavens the church is speaking out against fascism as they cheer on a fascist government taking away my healthcare.

I don’t care if you want to celebrate it and I wasn’t saying you shouldn’t or that it’s a bad thing. But this comment is really inviting a “no shit sherlock” kind of response.

I don’t think anyone here is at risk of being tricked into thinking that the pope is their friend (unlike some people on social media…)

Under the last pope the church used similar arguments to argue that transgender people are unnatural (unsaid part: and probably shouldn’t be given healthcare). It’s hard for me to read this without thinking about that backdrop:

Desiring a personal self-determination, as gender theory prescribes, apart from this fundamental truth that human life is a gift, amounts to a concession to the age-old temptation to make oneself God, entering into competition with the true God of love revealed to us in the Gospel.

At this point I’m starting to suspect that AI thought leaders like being booed for giving anti-human speeches. Sundar is looking forward to it!

https://www.businessinsider.com/sundar-pichai-google-graduation-speech-stanford-ai-backlash-eric-schmidt

Google CEO Sundar Pichai is scheduled to deliver the commencement speech at Stanford next month. […] “These graduates are actually both going to be a big part of driving that progress and also dealing with the impact,” he added, referring to AI.

SpaceX has chosen a sacrificial disposable naive crypto billionaire to captain a mars fly-by someday: https://gizmodo.com/spacex-taps-crypto-billionaire-to-lead-first-crewed-mission-to-mars-2000762451

The mission is expected to take two years and here’s what he has to say about that:

I can stare at the map view on airplanes all the way from takeoff to landing, so I think I will enjoy the trip.

I use grip gloves for opening jars and love them so much. Same ideas as plastic jar grips, but even easier. I find I usually have enough strength but that my skin is too sensitive to fully apply it without grip gloves.

Maybe women just aren’t that into designing programming languages?

James Damore flashbacks ohno

This website is intended for the use of the wholesale clients only. I declare that I am a wholesale client as defined in the Corporations Act 2001. I declare that I will not provide any information on this website to a retail investor.

Jokes on them I read the page without clicking the agree button here and without being a wholesale client!

Is it real hardmaxxing unless you change your gender? In this essay I will

Most incel forums proliferate pseudoscientific slop to justify their beliefs.

He was this close! This close!

The Logitech F710. The wireless signal is just bad on that controller. I’d get constant lag spikes or dropped input. The Logitech F310 is a much better deal because it’s 10 dollars cheaper and actually works on account of being wired.

Maybe it’d work in the depths of the sea without a lot of radio noise but somehow I doubt it.

Here is a video of Eric Schmidt getting loudly booed at a commencement speech

https://www.youtube.com/shorts/5MYggR_PPRg

https://www.youtube.com/live/b1eM3jv0vWY?t=7923

It is an impressively bad speech.