oliveoil [none/use name]

  • 3 Posts
  • 191 Comments
Joined 7 days ago
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Cake day: January 7th, 2026

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  • I don’t like vibes-based analysis.

    I like evidence-based reasoning.

    Here the evidence is that only a small percentage of protestors in the country say his name. That ralliers failed to get others to do so.

    Selection bias? What if people are too afraid?

    Counter-Evidence: many crowds are chanting death to the dictator, and the fact that they are protesting already contravenes the fear argument.

    Think of all the vibes MAGA people get about how things are and how things will happen. They are reactionary and idealist.

    We should try to disprove or prove our claims.

    You can use vibes to help you identify areas to investigate, but you shouldn’t use them to make conclusions.

    When time or resources are lacking and you have to operate on vibes, you should make a note in the back of your head of which things were vibes and what things were derived from that.