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Cake day: March 15th, 2026

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  • I think a significant number of states will now want to develop their own nuclear weapons. The US has been teaching people for the last 20 years that there is a significant difference in how they will treat countries that have the bomb like North Korea and those that haven’t, like Irak, Iran, Afganistan, Denmark and other NATO countries.

    NATO countries I believe will mostly ralley around the UK and France. But even among them, in the medium run, I believe there might be some wanting their own. Turkey has just recently announced a missile that basically only makes sense as a nuklear weapon.

    The rules based international relations was something making countries believe they don’t need nuclear weapons of their own. This premise doesn’t hold in the same way anymore. We’ll probably end up with 30-40 countries with nuclear weapons.



  • (Not a lawyer, just someone who has to stick their noses in laws way more than I care for) In Germany we have two sorts of persons defined in law: juristic persons and natural persons. There are lots of rights only natural persons have, like voting. Juristic persons are a legal invention to enable organisations like corporations to take a side in contracts and similar stuff.

    Sometimes it seems good to live somewhere where nerds thought of regulating this kind of thing way ahead of time. Current tradition has them since 1900. A Google search just told me though that this construct was part of Roman law (makes sense, German civil war is modelled on the French Code Civil which was modelled on Roman law…).